2013 NHL Top 500 Scorers Forecast

Here are my scoring projections for the lockout shortened 2013 season. May the hockey Gods bless any of you passionate enough to jump back in and compete in a hockey pool this season. The games played projections are just a guess, since the probability of injury of individual players is different in a compressed 48 game schedule compared to a full season.

	Player	Team	E[GP]	E[PTS]
1	Evgeni Malkin	PIT	48	65
2	Sidney Crosby	PIT	43	64
3	Claude Giroux	PHI	48	51
4	Alexander Ovechkin	WSH	48	51
5	Steven Stamkos	TBL	48	50
6	Jordan Eberle	EDM	47	47
7	Jason Spezza	OTT	48	47
8	Joe Thornton	SJS	48	46
9	Zach Parise	MIN	48	45
10	John Tavares	NYI	48	45
11	Ilya Kovalchuk	NJD	46	44
12	Rick Nash	NYR	48	44
13	Henrik Sedin	VAN	48	44
14	Daniel Sedin	VAN	48	42
15	Henrik Zetterberg	DET	48	42
16	Jonathan Toews	CHI	48	42
17	Phil Kessel	TOR	48	41
18	Patrick Kane	CHI	48	41
19	Eric Staal	CAR	48	41
20	Taylor Hall	EDM	46	41
21	Alexander Semin	CAR	48	40
22	Martin St Louis	TBL	47	40
23	Pavel Datsyuk	DET	43	39
24	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins	EDM	45	39
25	Logan Couture	SJS	47	39
26	Erik Karlsson	OTT	48	39
27	James Neal	PIT	48	38
28	Joe Pavelski	SJS	48	38
29	Jamie Benn	DAL	46	38
30	Tyler Seguin	BOS	48	38
31	Brad Richards	NYR	48	37
32	Patrick Sharp	CHI	48	37
33	Patrik Elias	NJD	48	37
34	Thomas Vanek	BUF	48	37
35	David Krejci	BOS	48	37
36	Corey Perry	ANA	48	37
37	David Desharnais	MTL	48	37
38	Loui Eriksson	DAL	48	37
39	Mikko Koivu	MIN	44	36
40	Jarome Iginla	CGY	48	36
41	Jordan Staal	CAR	45	36
42	Nicklas Backstrom	WSH	35	35
43	Ray Whitney	DAL	48	34
44	Ryan Getzlaf	ANA	48	34
45	Patrice Bergeron	BOS	44	34
46	Marcus Foligno	BUF	48	34
47	Blake Wheeler	WPG	48	34
48	Mike Ribeiro	WSH	46	33
49	Patrick Marleau	SJS	48	33
50	Mikhail Grabovski	TOR	48	33
51	Jason Pominville	BUF	45	33
52	Anze Kopitar	LAK	38	33
53	Paul Stastny	COL	46	32
54	Max Pacioretty	MTL	45	32
55	Rich Peverley	BOS	46	32
56	Valtteri Filppula	DET	48	32
57	Gabriel Landeskog	COL	48	32
58	Olli Jokinen	WPG	48	32
59	Marian Gaborik	NYR	38	32
60	Joffrey Lupul	TOR	40	32
61	Bobby Ryan	ANA	48	31
62	Derek Stepan	NYR	48	31
63	Teemu Selanne	ANA	43	31
64	Vinny Prospal	CBJ	48	31
65	Scott Hartnell	PHI	48	31
66	Dustin Brown	LAK	48	31
67	Tomas Plekanec	MTL	43	31
68	Frans Nielsen	NYI	48	31
69	Milan Lucic	BOS	48	31
70	Matt Moulson	NYI	48	30
71	Milan Michalek	OTT	43	30
72	Kris Versteeg	FLA	48	30
73	Mark Streit	NYI	47	29
74	Sam Gagner	EDM	47	29
75	Teddy Purcell	TBL	48	29
76	Stephen Weiss	FLA	48	29
77	Evander Kane	WPG	48	29
78	Bryan Little	WPG	48	29
79	Dany Heatley	MIN	48	29
80	Martin Erat	NSH	43	28
81	PA Parenteau	COL	48	28
82	Tyler Ennis	BUF	43	28
83	Andrew Ladd	WPG	48	28
84	Chris Kunitz	PIT	48	28
85	Jeff Skinner	CAR	43	28
86	T.J. Oshie	STL	48	28
87	Brad Marchand	BOS	48	28
88	Daniel Alfredsson	OTT	44	28
89	Alexander Steen	STL	46	28
90	Sergei Kostitsyn	NSH	45	28
91	Matt Duchene	COL	44	27
92	Alex Tanguay	CGY	45	27
93	Jussi Jokinen	CAR	48	27
94	Dustin Byfuglien	WPG	45	27
95	Cam Atkinson	CBJ	44	27
96	Mike Richards	LAK	47	27
97	Andrew Shaw	CHI	45	27
98	Kyle Turris	OTT	48	27
99	Justin Williams	LAK	48	27
100	Michael Ryder	DAL	48	27
101	Zdeno Chara	BOS	48	27
102	David Backes	STL	48	27
103	Mikael Samuelsson	DET	45	27
104	Johan Franzen	DET	44	27
105	Radim Vrbata	PHX	46	26
106	Vincent Lecavalier	TBL	40	26
107	Devin Setoguchi	MIN	43	26
108	Daniel Briere	PHI	40	26
109	Kris Letang	PIT	42	26
110	Clarke MacArthur	TOR	47	26
111	Ryan Callahan	NYR	47	26
112	Erik Cole	MTL	48	26
113	Alexandre Burrows	VAN	48	26
114	Derek Roy	DAL	45	26
115	Jakub Voracek	PHI	42	26
116	Wayne Simmonds	PHI	48	26
117	Ales Hemsky	EDM	43	26
118	Mike Cammalleri	CGY	42	26
119	Ryan O'Reilly	COL	48	25
120	Ryane Clowe	SJS	46	25
121	Artem Anisimov	CBJ	48	25
122	Drew Stafford	BUF	48	25
123	Shane Doan	PHX	48	25
124	Craig Smith	NSH	46	25
125	Derick Brassard	CBJ	45	25
126	Justin Schultz	EDM	46	25
127	Shea Weber	NSH	48	25
128	Jeff Carter	LAK	41	25
129	Martin Hanzal	PHX	45	25
130	Andy McDonald	STL	35	25
131	Brooks Laich	WSH	48	25
132	Martin Havlat	SJS	40	25
133	Jaromir Jagr	DAL	44	24
134	Nikolai Kulemin	TOR	48	24
135	Chris Stewart	STL	48	24
136	Matt Read	PHI	48	24
137	Travis Zajac	NJD	45	24
138	Pascal Dupuis	PIT	48	24
139	Brandon Dubinsky	CBJ	46	24
140	Tobias Enstrom	WPG	46	24
141	Dwight King	LAK	45	24
142	Tyler Bozak	TOR	46	24
143	Nikita Nikitin	CBJ	45	24
144	Adam Henrique	NJD	38	24
145	David Legwand	NSH	46	23
146	Patrik Berglund	STL	48	23
147	Colin Greening	OTT	48	23
148	David Clarkson	NJD	48	23
149	Brian Campbell	FLA	48	23
150	Marcus Johansson	WSH	48	23
151	Dan Boyle	SJS	48	23
152	Carl Hagelin	NYR	44	23
153	Drew Doughty	LAK	46	23
154	Kevin Shattenkirk	STL	48	23
155	Patric Hornqvist	NSH	47	23
156	Kyle Okposo	NYI	45	23
157	Alexander Edler	VAN	46	23
158	Nik Antropov	WPG	43	22
159	Ryan Malone	TBL	40	22
160	Duncan Keith	CHI	48	22
161	Michael Grabner	NYI	44	22
162	Kyle Wellwood	WPG	44	22
163	Mike Fisher	NSH	46	22
164	David Perron	STL	36	22
165	Ryan Kesler	VAN	35	22
166	Josh Bailey	NYI	48	22
167	Viktor Stalberg	CHI	46	22
168	Curtis Glencross	CGY	44	22
169	Lauri Korpikoski	PHX	48	22
170	Steve Ott	BUF	45	22
171	Christian Ehrhoff	BUF	46	22
172	Ryan Suter	MIN	48	22
173	Sean Couturier	PHI	47	21
174	Oliver Ekman-Larsson	PHX	46	21
175	Michael Del Zotto	NYR	42	21
176	Tomas Fleischmann	FLA	35	21
177	Alex Pietrangelo	STL	40	21
178	Keith Yandle	PHX	48	21
179	Nick Foligno	CBJ	48	21
180	RJ Umberger	CBJ	48	21
181	Dennis Wideman	CGY	48	21
182	Sven Baertschi	CGY	40	21
183	Saku Koivu	ANA	44	21
184	Brandon Sutter	PIT	48	21
185	Marcus Kruger	CHI	48	21
186	Jannik Hansen	VAN	48	21
187	Nick Leddy	CHI	48	21
188	Brayden Schenn	PHI	48	20
189	Antoine Vermette	PHX	48	20
190	Steve Sullivan	PHX	46	20
191	Slava Voynov	LAK	48	20
192	Steve Downie	COL	45	20
193	Lars Eller	MTL	47	20
194	Casey Wellman	FLA	48	20
195	Tuomo Ruutu	CAR	40	20
196	Marian Hossa	CHI	25	20
197	Tim Connolly	TOR	42	20
198	Ryan Smyth	EDM	45	20
199	Chris Kreider	NYR	48	20
200	James Van Riemsdyk	TOR	43	20
201	Cody Hodgson	BUF	40	20
202	James Wisniewski	CBJ	44	20
203	Tyler Kennedy	PIT	45	20
204	Sergei Gonchar	OTT	45	20
205	Jiri Hudler	CGY	42	20
206	Victor Hedman	TBL	44	20
207	Mikkel Boedker	PHX	48	20
208	Milan Hejduk	COL	46	20
209	Kyle Palmieri	ANA	48	20
210	Justin Faulk	CAR	48	19
211	Chris Higgins	VAN	45	19
212	Dion Phaneuf	TOR	45	19
213	Colin Wilson	NSH	45	19
214	Mathieu Perreault	WSH	41	19
215	Kyle Brodziak	MIN	48	19
216	Dmitri Kulikov	FLA	42	19
217	Brendan Smith	DET	48	19
218	Dave Bolland	CHI	45	19
219	David Jones	COL	45	19
220	Gabriel Bourque	NSH	38	19
221	Jiri Tlusty	CAR	45	18
222	Simon Gagne	LAK	40	18
223	Alexei Ponikarovsky	WPG	46	18
224	Adam Larsson	NJD	48	18
225	Marcel Goc	FLA	45	18
226	Marek Zidlicky	NJD	44	18
227	Spencer Machacek	WPG	35	18
228	Ryan McDonagh	NYR	48	18
229	John-Michael Liles	TOR	45	18
230	Jamie McBain	CAR	48	18
231	Damien Brunner	DET	45	18
232	Mark Scheifele	WPG	46	18
233	Kevin Bieksa	VAN	44	18
234	Tyler Myers	BUF	45	18
235	Roman Josi	NSH	43	18
236	Kimmo Timonen	PHI	47	18
237	Jack Johnson	CBJ	48	18
238	Brent Burns	SJS	48	18
239	Ryan Johansen	CBJ	44	18
240	Dainius Zubrus	NJD	48	18
241	Cody Eakin	DAL	48	18
242	Brad Boyes	NYI	46	17
243	Andrei Markov	MTL	48	17
244	Alexander Burmistrov	WPG	47	17
245	Todd Bertuzzi	DET	45	17
246	Andrei Loktionov	LAK	46	17
247	Tomas Kaberle	MTL	42	17
248	Nail Yakupov	EDM	44	17
249	Jason Chimera	WSH	48	17
250	Jaden Schwartz	STL	45	17
251	Kyle Quincey	DET	48	17
252	Filip Kuba	FLA	46	17
253	Matt Carle	TBL	48	17
254	Yannick Weber	MTL	45	17
255	Brian Gionta	MTL	40	17
256	Fedor Tyutin	CBJ	46	16
257	Cody Franson	TOR	46	16
258	Jared Spurgeon	MIN	45	16
259	Niklas Kronwall	DET	48	16
260	Alex Goligoski	DAL	46	16
261	Andrew Cogliano	ANA	48	16
262	Raphael Diaz	MTL	46	16
263	Lee Stempniak	CGY	43	16
264	P.K. Subban	MTL	42	16
265	Jason Demers	SJS	45	16
266	Matt Cullen	MIN	46	16
267	Marc-Andre Bergeron	TBL	40	16
268	Nazem Kadri	TOR	35	16
269	Guillaume Latendresse	OTT	35	16
270	John Carlson	WSH	48	16
271	Cam Fowler	ANA	48	16
272	Brandon Pirri	CHI	40	16
273	Brett Connolly	TBL	46	16
274	Bryan Bickell	CHI	45	16
275	Pierre-Marc Bouchard	MIN	30	16
276	Joni Pitkanen	CAR	35	16
277	David Ullstrom	NYI	41	15
278	T.J. Galiardi	SJS	44	15
279	Brent Seabrook	CHI	46	15
280	Peter Regin	OTT	42	15
281	Luca Sbisa	ANA	48	15
282	Troy Brouwer	WSH	48	15
283	Jamie McGinn	COL	48	15
284	Sean Bergenheim	FLA	44	15
285	Brenden Morrow	DAL	40	15
286	Nathan Horton	BOS	25	15
287	Luke Adam	BUF	40	15
288	Gustav Nyquist	DET	38	15
289	Benoit Pouliot	TBL	45	15
290	Ben Holmstrom	PHI	26	15
291	Daniel Cleary	DET	44	15
292	Mark Giordano	CGY	46	15
293	Erik Condra	OTT	48	15
294	Jordin Tootoo	DET	45	15
295	Matt D'Agostini	STL	44	15
296	Maxime Talbot	PHI	48	15
297	Shawn Horcoff	EDM	46	15
298	Matt Stajan	CGY	45	15
299	Ian White	DET	48	15
300	Joey Crabb	WSH	42	14
301	Chad LaRose	CAR	42	14
302	Bobby Butler	NJD	44	14
303	Mike Green	WSH	40	14
304	Dmitry Orlov	WSH	42	14
305	Antti Miettinen	WPG	45	14
306	Nino Niederreiter	NYI	48	14
307	Devante Smith-Pelly	ANA	48	14
308	Matt Cooke	PIT	46	14
309	Michael Frolik	CHI	42	14
310	Corey Potter	EDM	45	14
311	Jordan Caron	BOS	48	14
312	Rene Bourque	MTL	45	14
313	Chris Kelly	BOS	45	14
314	David Rundblad	PHX	40	14
315	Ryan Ellis	NSH	42	14
316	David Savard	CBJ	34	14
317	Jacob Josefson	NJD	45	14
318	Joe Corvo	CAR	46	14
319	Ryan Jones	EDM	48	14
320	Matt Halischuk	NSH	46	14
321	Mark Letestu	CBJ	45	13
322	Stefan Elliott	COL	38	13
323	Andrej Meszaros	PHI	38	13
324	Dan Hamhuis	VAN	45	13
325	Dennis Seidenberg	BOS	48	13
326	Jason Garrison	VAN	48	13
327	Matthew Lombardi	TOR	37	13
328	Drew Miller	DET	48	13
329	Erik Johnson	COL	44	13
330	Mason Raymond	VAN	42	13
331	Wojtek Wolski	WSH	35	13
332	Andrew Ebbett	VAN	42	13
333	Jake Gardiner	TOR	35	13
334	Casey Cizikas	NYI	40	13
335	Drayson Bowman	CAR	42	13
336	David Booth	VAN	35	13
337	Ben Maxwell	WPG	48	13
338	Zack Kassian	VAN	45	13
339	Andrew MacDonald	NYI	45	13
340	Teemu Hartikainen	EDM	35	13
341	Tomas Kopecky	FLA	48	13
342	Peter Mueller	FLA	30	13
343	Zac Dalpe	CAR	44	13
344	Mattias Tedenby	NJD	44	13
345	TJ Brodie	CGY	47	13
346	Travis Hamonic	NYI	35	13
347	Vladimir Sobotka	STL	46	13
348	Tom Wandell	DAL	45	12
349	Mike Santorelli	FLA	42	12
350	Darren Helm	DET	44	12
351	Ryan Whitney	EDM	38	12
352	Jamie Langenbrunner	STL	43	12
353	Jonathon Blum	NSH	44	12
354	Joe Colborne	TOR	25	12
355	Cal Clutterbuck	MIN	46	12
356	Ville Leino	BUF	44	12
357	Carlo Colaiacovo	DET	40	12
358	Roman Horak	CGY	38	12
359	Jay Bouwmeester	CGY	48	12
360	Carl Gunnarsson	TOR	47	12
361	Stephane Robidas	DAL	46	12
362	Matt Frattin	TOR	44	12
363	Anton Babchuk	CGY	35	12
364	Ryan Wilson	COL	46	12
365	Blake Comeau	CGY	46	12
366	Jarret Stoll	LAK	48	12
367	Daniel Winnik	ANA	46	11
368	Nathan Gerbe	BUF	35	11
369	Zach Bogosian	WPG	33	11
370	Tim Brent	CAR	43	11
371	Daniel Girardi	NYR	48	11
372	Andrew Ference	BOS	46	11
373	Jay Harrison	CAR	47	11
374	Paul Martin	PIT	44	11
375	David Schlemko	PHX	44	11
376	Michal Handzus	SJS	45	11
377	Alec Martinez	LAK	46	11
378	Simon Despres	PIT	44	11
379	Daniel Paille	BOS	48	11
380	Dustin Penner	LAK	42	11
381	Mikael Backlund	CGY	40	10
382	Jeff Petry	EDM	45	10
383	Nate Thompson	TBL	44	10
384	Zack Smith	OTT	48	10
385	Eric Wellwood	PHI	38	10
386	Anton Stralman	NYR	38	10
387	Nick Spaling	NSH	46	10
388	Nick Johnson	PHX	35	10
389	Louis Leblanc	MTL	44	10
390	Kris Russell	STL	41	10
391	Marc-Andre Gragnani	CAR	30	10
392	Raffi Torres	PHX	43	10
393	Trevor Daley	DAL	48	10
394	Tom Gilbert	MIN	40	10
395	Marc-Edouard Vlasic	SJS	48	10
396	Nick Bonino	ANA	42	10
397	Mark Olver	COL	39	10
398	Derek Dorsett	CBJ	42	10
399	Tim Erixon	CBJ	46	10
400	Paul Gaustad	NSH	46	10
401	Brandon Yip	NSH	40	10
402	Niklas Hjalmarsson	CHI	48	9
403	Matt Calvert	CBJ	25	9
404	Brian Boyle	NYR	48	9
405	Grant Clitsome	WPG	44	9
406	Marco Scandella	MIN	38	9
407	Brandon Prust	MTL	48	9
408	Sheldon Souray	ANA	40	9
409	Luke Schenn	PHI	48	9
410	Michal Rozsival	CHI	45	9
411	Kyle Chipchura	PHX	38	9
412	Dan Carcillo	CHI	40	9
413	Philip Larsen	DAL	42	9
414	Taylor Pyatt	NYR	46	9
415	Tim Gleason	CAR	48	9
416	Chris Neil	OTT	44	9
417	Braydon Coburn	PHI	48	9
418	Jordan Leopold	BUF	47	9
419	Torrey Mitchell	MIN	45	9
420	David Moss	PHX	42	9
421	Rostislav Klesla	PHX	43	9
422	Matt Niskanen	PIT	46	9
423	Johnny Boychuk	BOS	46	8
424	Kyle Clifford	LAK	48	8
425	Andrej Sekera	BUF	40	8
426	Andy Greene	NJD	46	8
427	Shawn Matthias	FLA	38	8
428	Jimmy Hayes	CHI	28	8
429	Anthony Stewart	CAR	32	8
430	Alexander Sulzer	BUF	40	8
431	Joel Ward	WSH	48	8
432	Matt Beleskey	ANA	35	8
433	Justin Abdelkader	DET	48	8
434	Justin Braun	SJS	42	8
435	John Mitchell	COL	43	8
436	Ladislav Smid	EDM	46	8
437	Jim Slater	WPG	48	8
438	Derek MacKenzie	CBJ	40	8
439	Jeff Halpern	NYR	43	8
440	Colby Armstrong	MTL	42	8
441	Deryk Engelland	PIT	42	8
442	Tommy Wingels	SJS	42	8
443	Travis Moen	MTL	43	7
444	Erik Gustafsson	PHI	31	7
445	Tomas Kubalik	CBJ	25	7
446	Kevin Klein	NSH	47	7
447	Brad Stuart	SJS	48	7
448	Scottie Upshall	FLA	39	7
449	David Van Der Gulik	COL	31	7
450	Michael Sauer	NYR	44	7
451	Marc Staal	NYR	43	7
452	Ed Jovanovski	FLA	38	7
453	Boyd Gordon	PHX	42	7
454	Jeff Woywitka	STL	39	7
455	Brian Lee	TBL	42	7
456	Jordan Nolan	LAK	43	7
457	Chuck Kobasew	COL	40	7
458	Steven Kampfer	MIN	30	7
459	Benn Ferriero	PIT	30	7
460	Adam Burish	SJS	44	7
461	Vernon Fiddler	DAL	48	7
462	Barret Jackman	STL	48	7
463	Greg Campbell	BOS	48	7
464	Dustin Jeffrey	PIT	25	7
465	Roman Polak	STL	42	7
466	Brayden McNabb	BUF	25	7
467	Kevin Porter	BUF	30	7
468	Cody McLeod	COL	47	7
469	Francois Beauchemin	ANA	48	6
470	Mark Stuart	WPG	45	6
471	Michael Stone	PHX	20	6
472	Eric Belanger	EDM	46	6
473	Willie Mitchell	LAK	45	6
474	Nate Prosser	MIN	45	6
475	Steve Bernier	NJD	46	6
476	Tim Jackman	CGY	46	6
477	Zac Rinaldo	PHI	42	6
478	Tom Pyatt	TBL	45	6
479	Jay McClement	TOR	48	6
480	Mark Fayne	NJD	48	6
481	Chris Phillips	OTT	48	6
482	Maxim Lapierre	VAN	46	6
483	Tyson Strachan	FLA	44	6
484	Cody McCormick	BUF	35	6
485	Jakub Kindl	DET	30	6
486	Sami Salo	TBL	30	6
487	Marc-Andre Bourdon	PHI	29	6
488	Tomas Vincour	DAL	45	6
489	Brooks Orpik	PIT	48	6
490	Andrew Desjardins	SJS	45	6
491	Alexei Emelin	MTL	44	6
492	Jerome Samson	CAR	22	6
493	Karl Alzner	WSH	48	6
494	Matt Hendricks	WSH	48	6
495	Ben Smith	CHI	20	5
496	Jim O'Brien	OTT	42	5
497	Derek Smith	CGY	45	5
498	Eric Brewer	TBL	48	5
499	Chris Tanev	VAN	27	5
500	Anton Volchenkov	NJD	44	5